The global economy is in recession
By: Glenn Stevens Governor
Address to the Australian Institute of Company Directors
Directors Luncheon
Adelaide – 21 April 2009
The global economy is in recession. Virtually all of Australia’s trading partners are contracting. In fact almost every country with which we would normally make comparisons is in recession, and for many of them it is a bad one.
It is very rare for Australia to escape an international downturn and there is no precedent for avoiding one of this size. We, like most countries, have trade and financial linkages to the rest of the world. We are all aware of what happens abroad, and our own expectations and economic behaviour cannot but be affected by those events. Whether or not the next GDP statistic, due in early June, shows another decline, I think the reasonable person, looking at all the information available now, would come to the conclusion that the Australian economy, too, is in recession.
These are periods of hardship for significant parts of the community. People lose jobs, businesses fail, loans go bad, and plans are unfulfilled. As such, they are to be avoided if possible and at least ameliorated when they occur. It is for the latter reason that most countries today have extensive social safety nets, so that when recessions do occur, we can avoid the extent of outright misery seen in episodes like the 1930s. Read the rest »